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romney seems to have searched national polls than battlegrounds. i think this something i want to keep tracking. i think it's -- it's a little piece of evidence right now and it's been something that you know the president is stronger in battle grounds than any other states. how much of romney's bump is in the other 41 states, if you will? and in the national polls and where in the battlegrounds maybe everything was fought to a draw? that's something that has to be a keconcern to the romney team. >> chris cillizza, when we looked at the narrowing in the battleground polls, especially virginia, we're seeing an impact there also in a very important senate race because there had been an advantage for tim kaine over george alan there, as the president at the top of the ticket was pulling ahead but now that it's narrowed they are dead even. >> yeah. i think virginia's the one to look at in terms of down ballot effect, because we expect that race between tim kaine and george alan to be so close. i say if barack obama win virginia i'd been hard pressed to
romney seems to have searched national polls than battlegrounds. i think this something i want to keep tracking. i think it's -- it's a little piece of evidence right now and it's been something that you know the president is stronger in battle grounds than any other states. how much of romney's bump is in the other 41 states, if you will? and in the national polls and where in the battlegrounds maybe everything was fought to a draw? that's something that has to be a keconcern to the romney...
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now the battleground polls are out telling us whether mitt romney's comments ruffled any feathers among voters. according to our latest nbc poll obama holds a one point lead. ohio the gap is down to six. in virginia it's slipped for one to obama and up one for romney. the president is still ahead but nationally mitt romney has actually taken the lead. ten days ago obama head a four point lead in that average. today mitt romney leads by more than a point. but when you look at just the swing states, president obama is leading almost every one of them albeit by a reduced margin. these are numbers just from the last states. let's put them through the spin cycle. guys, all of this raises an interesting possibility that i have resisted and that political science tells us shouldn't be happening. political science says generally speaking if there's movement nationally, there will be similar movement in the swing states. if there's movement in swing states will be mirrored in other states. mitt romney has not pulled ahead in swing states. look at a state like ohio, virginia, iowa, new hampshire,
now the battleground polls are out telling us whether mitt romney's comments ruffled any feathers among voters. according to our latest nbc poll obama holds a one point lead. ohio the gap is down to six. in virginia it's slipped for one to obama and up one for romney. the president is still ahead but nationally mitt romney has actually taken the lead. ten days ago obama head a four point lead in that average. today mitt romney leads by more than a point. but when you look at just the swing...
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a new poll today shows mitt romney makes gains in three key swing states. romney flips the script in virginia, now leading by one point. the fight for florida is a statistical dead heat. and romney has narrowed the gap this ohio, although the buckeye state, what every republican needs to win the white house, is still solidly in obama's corner. >> this is the conversation we were having before both conventions. so almost as everything has been erased. >> i think it accounts for the hemorrhaging that they let romney back in. >> joining me now is ed schultz host of the ed show. and let's start with this. congressman ryan as well as the chairman both trying to set the stage for tonight. let's listen. >> joe biden's been on will stage many times before. this is my first time. so, sure, it's a nervous situation. because joe biden is one of the most experienced debaters we have in modern politics. >> this is miss firhis first ti. joe biden's been doing this since the 1800s. he'll do a solid job. >> so when you listen to this, the base was pretty upset last night.
a new poll today shows mitt romney makes gains in three key swing states. romney flips the script in virginia, now leading by one point. the fight for florida is a statistical dead heat. and romney has narrowed the gap this ohio, although the buckeye state, what every republican needs to win the white house, is still solidly in obama's corner. >> this is the conversation we were having before both conventions. so almost as everything has been erased. >> i think it accounts for the...
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governor, it's a pleasure having you on here. >> it's great to be here. >> our new polls show romney gaining. president obama is leading. six point lead versus an eight point lead after the debate. you see the numbers, 51/45. >> yes, but i'll take it. 51, that's over 50%. if you get over 50%, you're going to win. so i'll take 51/45 any time. >> so you're predicting a win in ohio for president obama? >> ohio's going to be strong for the president. i think other battleground states are going to be strong as well. >> particularly in ohio, no other republican candidate has won the white house without the state. it was just last week where they were trying to come up with a strategy for winning the white house without ohio. they've hunkered down and added more staff. it seems to be an interesting argument at this point or what argument is governor romney going to make when you look at the economic recovery, when you look at the wings, if you will, or the spider web benefits of the auto bailout. >> absolutely. >> what is the argument that's keeping governor romney in the game in ohio? is i
governor, it's a pleasure having you on here. >> it's great to be here. >> our new polls show romney gaining. president obama is leading. six point lead versus an eight point lead after the debate. you see the numbers, 51/45. >> yes, but i'll take it. 51, that's over 50%. if you get over 50%, you're going to win. so i'll take 51/45 any time. >> so you're predicting a win in ohio for president obama? >> ohio's going to be strong for the president. i think other...
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we have new maris polls and they show romney's post debate bump is much less than feared. the race has tightened. the advantage remains with the president. so far we'll talk to obama's deputy campaign manager stephanie cutter and kentucky governor to talk about the state of the race. >>> plus -- some on the right deny facts and throw their dirty conspiracy theories out there. >>> also, meet the other man running against paul ryan. the democrat trying to win ryan's congressional seat joins us later. >>> let me finish tonight with that same old fashioned dirt we're seeing out here. this is "hardball," the place for politics, live from noisy danville, kentucky, the site of the vice presidential debate. >> i may not answer the questions the way you or the moderator want to speak but i am going to talk straight to the american people and let them know my track record also. altima and reimagined nearly everything in it? gave it greater horsepower and best in class 38 mpg highway... advanced headlights... and zero gravity seats? yeah, that would be cool. ♪ introducing the compl
we have new maris polls and they show romney's post debate bump is much less than feared. the race has tightened. the advantage remains with the president. so far we'll talk to obama's deputy campaign manager stephanie cutter and kentucky governor to talk about the state of the race. >>> plus -- some on the right deny facts and throw their dirty conspiracy theories out there. >>> also, meet the other man running against paul ryan. the democrat trying to win ryan's...
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the nbc news/marist poll october 3rd, romney, 42%, unfavorables 51%. now favorables are 44%, unfavorables 50%. that's within margin of error. effective i will no change, was surprising given the debate performance. >> the data are very clear, national data and individual state level data that we're seeing. and there has been movement. the race has changed and it is much more competitive than it was ten days ago, much more competitive. now the movement in ohio, the romney movement has been weaker than it was nationally or in places like virginia, florida, or colorado. and i think part of that is the obama campaign did a very good job early on airing ads early, focusing on ohio and delivering a message and defining mitt romney. they did not do that as well in the other states and frankly some of the other states have a more fundamental republican bend. it's true, the early obama ads about romney defining him, his wealth, i think it worked. the romney folks have a longer way to go. i should point out, alex, that it is possible, i mean, our newsletter has
the nbc news/marist poll october 3rd, romney, 42%, unfavorables 51%. now favorables are 44%, unfavorables 50%. that's within margin of error. effective i will no change, was surprising given the debate performance. >> the data are very clear, national data and individual state level data that we're seeing. and there has been movement. the race has changed and it is much more competitive than it was ten days ago, much more competitive. now the movement in ohio, the romney movement has been...
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to a "new york times"/cbs poll, mitt romney leads the president by one point in colorado. last month the president was up one point in that state. in virginia, president obama's lead from last month grew slightly. he's now up 51%-46%. and in wisconsin, the candidates are within the margin of error after the president lost a point from last month and mitt romney gained two. in all three battleground states, voters by double digits believe the economy is getting better compared to the numbers back in july. >> and mark halperin, that may be the big takeaway from this poll. the race is getting much closer. nobody can predict what's going to happen. if you look at a big friend, thoug trend, you've got to look at a lot of americans in these swing states are looking at the economy saying things are getting better. >> it's clearly a huge factor and yet, obviously, the debate from denver is also a huge factor. i think, you know, we look a lot at the margin of error, and these numbers aren't shifting all that much. what's key is in a lot of the states the president is below 50. that
to a "new york times"/cbs poll, mitt romney leads the president by one point in colorado. last month the president was up one point in that state. in virginia, president obama's lead from last month grew slightly. he's now up 51%-46%. and in wisconsin, the candidates are within the margin of error after the president lost a point from last month and mitt romney gained two. in all three battleground states, voters by double digits believe the economy is getting better compared to the...
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in colorado, romney leads 48-vii. the latest quinnipiac poll for cbs and the "new york times." romney's victory strategy hinges on those four states more than any others. the real clear politic average shows tie in florida. in ohio, president is up over a point. virginia, he remains ahead by half a point. and romney has that same lead in colorado. >> prayer is the most helpful thing you can do for me. >> mr. romney met with reverend billy graham and his son in north carolina, a state mr. obama won in 2008. but where romney aides are confident a victory this time. both president obama and romney were on the stump yesterday in ohio where they bemoaned the president's lack of leadership. >> time and time again the president told us he'd take on these things and hasn't. he turns around and tries to blame others. congress won't get together. congress won't get together unless there is a strong lead they're puts them together. >> at the tail end of his meeting with the reverend billy graham, the reverend said to mitt romney i will do anything i can to help you, and that's on the reco
in colorado, romney leads 48-vii. the latest quinnipiac poll for cbs and the "new york times." romney's victory strategy hinges on those four states more than any others. the real clear politic average shows tie in florida. in ohio, president is up over a point. virginia, he remains ahead by half a point. and romney has that same lead in colorado. >> prayer is the most helpful thing you can do for me. >> mr. romney met with reverend billy graham and his son in north...
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polls showing romney down seven, eight, even nine points. in all the battleground states and national polls romney's coming up. that's the momentum the republicans hope to keep in tonight's debate. >> john, is there any evidence right now that this debate -- that last week's debate has put some states in play that presumably weren't in play? >> there's some evidence. that's a fascinating question. this is a key point in the campaign. where are we going to spend ad dollars? where are we going to send the vice president and paul ryan? governor romney has been trying for a long time to put his birth state, michigan, in play. we had a poll suggested that was unlikely to happen. this is after the debate. a reputable polling firm from the state of michigan, a three-point race. we'll watch and see if it lasts. sometimes the bounces dissipate. at the moment the democrats might have to worry more about michigan. another state romney has long wanted to put in play is battleground pennsylvania. been out of reach in most polls. here's one snapshot, but
polls showing romney down seven, eight, even nine points. in all the battleground states and national polls romney's coming up. that's the momentum the republicans hope to keep in tonight's debate. >> john, is there any evidence right now that this debate -- that last week's debate has put some states in play that presumably weren't in play? >> there's some evidence. that's a fascinating question. this is a key point in the campaign. where are we going to spend ad dollars? where are...
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what you've seen, and the polls show it, the romney/ryan ticket has momentum. the polls have tightened in recent days following mitt romney's performance, where he obviously won that debate. there's a lot more attention here. if joe biden is able to perform very well -- and he's a pretty good debater. if he's able to perform pretty well perhaps he can stem some of that momentum, at least dampen a little criticism heading into the debate next week in new york, buy the president a little time. if paul ryan clearly dominates in this debate it will be seen very much as a one-two punch and that will just mean more momentum. >> they've been, as we call it in college, cramming. how have both of them been preparing? >> reporter: yeah. it is like cramming. i think it's sort of like going back, studying for -- one aide told me it's like studying for the s.a.t.s in the middle of a campaign. they go over a lot of briefing materials. they're brushing up on domestic and foreign policy, getting to certainly know each other's positions on everything. there's a lot of sort of t
what you've seen, and the polls show it, the romney/ryan ticket has momentum. the polls have tightened in recent days following mitt romney's performance, where he obviously won that debate. there's a lot more attention here. if joe biden is able to perform very well -- and he's a pretty good debater. if he's able to perform pretty well perhaps he can stem some of that momentum, at least dampen a little criticism heading into the debate next week in new york, buy the president a little time. if...
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romney got helped. the race got closer. >> we also had a conservative ideological advantage of conservative in the exit polls. what do you tell folks that look at those numbers? >> this tells you you can't weight your data by party idea. we've said it a million times during the campaign. there's national polls. they had a 15-point swing in party i.d. in two weeks. you get into a problem when they start doing that. what we're seeing is in ohio the effects of the early voting. those people are democratic, and they aren't likely voters, they're definite voters, and that's what's pulling these numbers. >> lee miringhoff, director of the marist poll. always good to see you. we'll see you in a few weeks. >>> vice president biden says he's anticipating a chance to draw a clear contract with the republican proposals at tonight's debate. joining me now, kentucky's democratic governor steve beshear. thanks for being here. >> thanks for coming to the commonwealth of kentucky. >> we love kentucky. as a democrat, yo
romney got helped. the race got closer. >> we also had a conservative ideological advantage of conservative in the exit polls. what do you tell folks that look at those numbers? >> this tells you you can't weight your data by party idea. we've said it a million times during the campaign. there's national polls. they had a 15-point swing in party i.d. in two weeks. you get into a problem when they start doing that. what we're seeing is in ohio the effects of the early voting. those...
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i mean, the polls suggest that there's a clear advantage for romney from that first debate, but it's kind of stabilizing, where nonetheless, if ryan has a strong night tonight, congressman ryan, it will reinforce a storyline and amplification. that will be a problem for democrats. >> again, we're going to look at these pictures. this is air force 2 obviously preparing for the vice president to step down off the plane, and he will be heading to the debate site. talk a little bit about what's at stake here because often the vice presidential debates don't really make that much difference when you take a look at the overall picture, but you still have some people, especially after obama's kind of lackluster performance, who are undecided, who are actually looking at this and now you have mitt romney and obama neck and neck now. >> yeah. i think a lot of things change in that first presidential debate, which makes this -- which makes this somewhat more consequential than usual. as you point out, people don't usually vote for the vice president. the vice presidential debate is not a centr
i mean, the polls suggest that there's a clear advantage for romney from that first debate, but it's kind of stabilizing, where nonetheless, if ryan has a strong night tonight, congressman ryan, it will reinforce a storyline and amplification. that will be a problem for democrats. >> again, we're going to look at these pictures. this is air force 2 obviously preparing for the vice president to step down off the plane, and he will be heading to the debate site. talk a little bit about...
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he is you should a lot of pressure because of what you see in the polls. this momentum that's very much on the side of mitt romney. and paul ryan. so it is very much up to vice president biden to take a shot here and try to stop some of that momentum because if you see a win by paul ryan, it's covered as a one-two punch. the momentum will continue. we know talking to some of the vice president's aides that he's going to come out swinging. this's the expectation, to be on offense. we've been told he's eager, feeling good and trying to draw a contrast. when you look at the tiny table in the picture, brooke, it is a pretty intimate setting. if he's going to get in to it and draw a contrast, that's sort of code for confrontation. we'll see if he makes good on the promise of the team. >> bring yaannbrianna, do they say something memorable, as in not in a good way memorable? >> reporter: you'll remember he's sort of known as a bit of a gaffe machine. puts in his foot in his mouth from time to time. he said that the middle class buried for four years and that was
he is you should a lot of pressure because of what you see in the polls. this momentum that's very much on the side of mitt romney. and paul ryan. so it is very much up to vice president biden to take a shot here and try to stop some of that momentum because if you see a win by paul ryan, it's covered as a one-two punch. the momentum will continue. we know talking to some of the vice president's aides that he's going to come out swinging. this's the expectation, to be on offense. we've been...